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NO BET IT, INVEST IT. NoBet 十年研究成果，和您分享一个没有投机の足彩世界！ ...推介只做参考，买彩或有风险...

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Image source: /d2de3e87656d0c76d47e209b60a3347b/tumblr_o8g9goKTKE1v322bwo1_1280.jpg
Alternative text: 计算体育博彩的期望值注额期望值显示我们从每个注额中预计可以赢得的彩金（平均），就其本身而言，期望值是博彩玩家在比较博彩公司赔率时最重要的计算。本文解释如何计算体育博彩的期望值。 “期望值”或EV，是玩家多次以相同赔率投注，预期可以赢得或输掉的金额。例如，在抛硬币中，你打算押10美元赌正面朝上，如果猜中，你每次将获得11美元，EV就是0.5。这意味着如果你打算一次又一次押相同赌注赌正面朝上，对于每次押10美元，你可以预期平均赢0.5美元。如何计算期望值计算期望值的公式相对简单，只需将胜率乘以...
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Alternative text: 如何计算足球博彩的泊松分布泊松分布结合历史数据，可以计算足球比赛中可能的进球数。玩家将发现使用泊松分布计算足球比赛的可能赛果既简单又实用。泊松分布解释泊松分布是一个数学概念，将平均值换算成可变结果的概率。例如，中国每场比赛平均进1.7个球。将此信息输入泊松公式中，将显示此平均值相当于切尔西在18.3%的时间里进0球，31%的时间进1球，26.4%的时间进2球，15%的时间进3球。如何使用泊松分布计算足球赛果在使用泊松计算可能的赛果前，我们需要计算在比赛中各队可能的平均进球数。得出的平均值用...
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Alternative text: 赌徒谬误和大数法则17世纪数学家雅各布•贝努利创造了“大数法则” ”，这可能是非常昂贵的误解。大数法则使用抛硬币为例（正反面各有50%公平机率朝上），贝努利计算出如果抛硬币的次数足够多，正面或反面朝上的比例越接近50%，然而正面或反面朝上的实际次数之差也越来越大。 “ 随着抛硬币次数越来越多，正面或反面的分布越来越接近50%。 ”...
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Alternative text: 过去一个月因各大联赛国家的大小赛事陆续进入最后八轮的，我们停止发布数据结果。过往发布的数据结果是基于 Fixed betting 的注额资金管理下。上图红线是 Fixed betting ，蓝线是 Proportional Betting。
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Alternative text: 2016年4月第3周足球推荐成绩；本周赢利额较低，盈利情况在概率上表现为低水平的态势分布范围。(注：利润是基于即时平博市场指数按每场 1k 计算的。因为足彩SP值波动较大，故我们没有采用SP值计算，而是采用最权威最稳定的平博指数计算。) 表中的 Yield 因子，这是用来计算盈利回报的国际流行的指标，比如31%就是表示如果从开始就一直跟进投入的话，现在的投入回报是31%，依此类推。
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Alternative text: 2016年4月第2周足球推荐成绩；本周赢利额较低，盈利情况在概率上表现为低水平的态势分布范围。(注：利润是基于即时平博市场指数按每场 1k 计算的。因为足彩SP值波动较大，故我们没有采用SP值计算，而是采用最权威最稳定的平博指数计算。)表中的 Yield 因子，这是用来计算盈利回报的国际流行的指标，比如30%就是表示如果从开始就一直跟进投入的话，现在的投入回报是30%，依此类推。
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Alternative text: 2016年4月第1周足球推荐成绩；本周小额赢利，盈利情况在概率上表现为基本走水的态势分布范围，可能是欧洲大部分联赛都临近赛事末期而主场优势提升影响所致。(注：利润是基于即时平博市场指数按每场 1k 计算的。因为足彩 SP 值波动较大，故我们没有采用 SP 值计算，而是采用最权威最稳定的平博指数计算。)表中的 Yield 因子，这是用来计算盈利回报的国际流行的指标，比如 27% 就是表示如果从开始就一直跟进投入的话，现在的投入回报是 27%，依此类推。今天举例说明下大部分玩家不太明白的...
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Alternative text: 2016年3月第4周足球推荐成绩；本周没有赢利，盈利情况在概率上表现为走水的态势分布范围，可能是欧洲大部分联赛都临近赛事末期而主场优势提升影响所致。(注：利润是基于即时平博市场指数按每场 1k 计算的。因为足彩SP值波动较大，故我们没有采用SP值计算，而是采用最权威最稳定的平博指数计算。) 表中的 Yield 因子，这是用来计算盈利回报的国际流行的指标，比如 27% 就是表示如果从开始就一直跟进投入的话，现在的投入回报是 27%，依此类推。今天举例说明下大部分玩家不太明白的 Yield...
Image source: /7e57fc4155b3525db6d8d455ed881c6a/tumblr_o4fqxt6jLy1v322bwo1_500.png
Alternative text: 2016年3月第3周足球推荐成绩；本周赢利额较低，盈利情况在概率上表现为低水平的态势分布范围，可能是欧洲大部分联赛都临近赛事末期而主场优势提升影响所致。(注：利润是基于即时平博市场指数按每场 1k 计算的。因为足彩SP值波动较大，故我们没有采用SP值计算，而是采用最权威最稳定的平博指数计算。) 表中的 Yield 因子，这是用来计算盈利回报的国际流行的指标，比如28%就是表示如果从开始就一直跟进投入的话，现在的投入回报是28%，依此类推。
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Alternative text: 2016年3月第2周足球推荐成绩；本周赢利额微弱，本周大部分赛事都是热门球队打出以及平局频现，这在这个赛事特征群体里并不多见，属于小概率事件，即便如此我们仍然没有亏损，而是获得一种走盘或平手的状态，这个走盘并不存在亏水跟亚盘的走盘是不同的，亚盘的走盘不计算水位基本是属于亏水状态，本周赢利情况在概率上表现为小概率的低位态势分布。(注：利润是基于即时平博市场指数按每场 1k 计算的。因为足彩SP值波动较大，故我们没有采用SP值计算，而是采用最权威最稳定的平博指数计算。) 表中的 Yield...
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http://www.nobet.club/post/145604468473/计算体育博彩的期望值#notes
http://www.nobet.club/post/145604468473/计算体育博彩的期望值
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http://www.nobet.club/post/145554555663/过去一个月因各大联赛国家的大小赛事陆续进入最后八轮的我们停止发布数据结果过往发布的数据结果是基于
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http://www.nobet.club/post/145554555663/过去一个月因各大联赛国家的大小赛事陆续进入最后八轮的我们停止发布数据结果过往发布的数据结果是基于/embed
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http://www.nobet.club/post/143049641288/2016年4月第3周足球推荐成绩本周赢利额较低盈利情况在概率上表现为低水平的态势分布范围注利
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http://www.nobet.club/post/143049641288/2016年4月第3周足球推荐成绩本周赢利额较低盈利情况在概率上表现为低水平的态势分布范围注利/embed
http://www.nobet.club/post/142688179773/2016年4月第2周足球推荐成绩本周赢利额较低盈利情况在概率上表现为低水平的态势分布范围注利#notes
http://www.nobet.club/post/142688179773/2016年4月第2周足球推荐成绩本周赢利额较低盈利情况在概率上表现为低水平的态势分布范围注利
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http://www.nobet.club/post/142688179773/2016年4月第2周足球推荐成绩本周赢利额较低盈利情况在概率上表现为低水平的态势分布范围注利/embed
http://www.nobet.club/post/142382103088/2016年4月第1周足球推荐成绩本周小额赢利盈利情况在概率上表现为基本走水的态势分布范围可能是欧
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http://www.nobet.club/post/142382103088/2016年4月第1周足球推荐成绩本周小额赢利盈利情况在概率上表现为基本走水的态势分布范围可能是欧/embed
http://www.nobet.club/post/141995853933/2016年3月第4周足球推荐成绩本周没有赢利盈利情况在概率上表现为走水的态势分布范围可能是欧洲大#notes
http://www.nobet.club/post/141995853933/2016年3月第4周足球推荐成绩本周没有赢利盈利情况在概率上表现为走水的态势分布范围可能是欧洲大
//www.pinterest.com/pin/create/button/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nobet.club%2Fpost%2F141995853933%2F2016%E5%B9%B43%E6%9C%88%E7%AC%AC4%E5%91%A8%E8%B6%B3%E7%90%83%E6%8E%A8%E8%8D%90%E6%88%90%E7%BB%A9%E6%9C%AC%E5%91%A8%E6%B2%A1%E6%9C%89%E8%B5%A2%E5%88%A9%E7%9B%88%E5%88%A9%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5%E5%9C%A8%E6%A6%82%E7%8E%87%E4%B8%8A%E8%A1%A8%E7%8E%B0%E4%B8%BA%E8%B5%B0%E6%B0%B4%E7%9A%84%E6%80%81%E5%8A%BF%E5%88%86%E5%B8%83%E8%8C%83%E5%9B%B4%E5%8F%AF%E8%83%BD%E6%98%AF%E6%AC%A7%E6%B4%B2%E5%A4%A7&media=http://68.media.tumblr.com/d04a970ae0a7c5a027609f0d8cf53580/tumblr_o4vz49BePv1v322bwo1_500.png
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http://www.nobet.club/post/141995853933/2016年3月第4周足球推荐成绩本周没有赢利盈利情况在概率上表现为走水的态势分布范围可能是欧洲大/embed
http://www.nobet.club/post/141481137813/2016年3月第3周足球推荐成绩本周赢利额较低盈利情况在概率上表现为低水平的态势分布范围可能是欧
//www.pinterest.com/pin/create/button/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nobet.club%2Fpost%2F141481137813%2F2016%E5%B9%B43%E6%9C%88%E7%AC%AC3%E5%91%A8%E8%B6%B3%E7%90%83%E6%8E%A8%E8%8D%90%E6%88%90%E7%BB%A9%E6%9C%AC%E5%91%A8%E8%B5%A2%E5%88%A9%E9%A2%9D%E8%BE%83%E4%BD%8E%E7%9B%88%E5%88%A9%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5%E5%9C%A8%E6%A6%82%E7%8E%87%E4%B8%8A%E8%A1%A8%E7%8E%B0%E4%B8%BA%E4%BD%8E%E6%B0%B4%E5%B9%B3%E7%9A%84%E6%80%81%E5%8A%BF%E5%88%86%E5%B8%83%E8%8C%83%E5%9B%B4%E5%8F%AF%E8%83%BD%E6%98%AF%E6%AC%A7&media=http://68.media.tumblr.com/7e57fc4155b3525db6d8d455ed881c6a/tumblr_o4fqxt6jLy1v322bwo1_500.png
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http://www.nobet.club/post/141481137813/2016年3月第3周足球推荐成绩本周赢利额较低盈利情况在概率上表现为低水平的态势分布范围可能是欧/embed
http://www.nobet.club/post/141072654943/2016年3月第2周足球推荐成绩本周赢利额微弱本周大部分赛事都是热门球队打出以及平局频现这在这个
//www.pinterest.com/pin/create/button/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nobet.club%2Fpost%2F141072654943%2F2016%E5%B9%B43%E6%9C%88%E7%AC%AC2%E5%91%A8%E8%B6%B3%E7%90%83%E6%8E%A8%E8%8D%90%E6%88%90%E7%BB%A9%E6%9C%AC%E5%91%A8%E8%B5%A2%E5%88%A9%E9%A2%9D%E5%BE%AE%E5%BC%B1%E6%9C%AC%E5%91%A8%E5%A4%A7%E9%83%A8%E5%88%86%E8%B5%9B%E4%BA%8B%E9%83%BD%E6%98%AF%E7%83%AD%E9%97%A8%E7%90%83%E9%98%9F%E6%89%93%E5%87%BA%E4%BB%A5%E5%8F%8A%E5%B9%B3%E5%B1%80%E9%A2%91%E7%8E%B0%E8%BF%99%E5%9C%A8%E8%BF%99%E4%B8%AA&media=http://68.media.tumblr.com/c4131884488078f8b2de7663c27dc639/tumblr_o42d55GWvM1v322bwo1_500.png
mailto:?subject=%E6%9D%A5%E8%87%AA%20NoBet%20%E8%B6%B3%E5%BD%A9%E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6%E5%AE%A4%20%E7%9A%84%E5%9B%BE%E7%89%87&body=%F0%9F%93%B7%202016%E5%B9%B43%E6%9C%88%E7%AC%AC2%E5%91%A8%E8%B6%B3%E7%90%83%E6%8E%A8%E8%8D%90%E6%88%90%E7%BB%A9%EF%BC%9B%E6%9C%AC%E5%91%A8%E8%B5%A2%E5%88%A9%E9%A2%9D%E5%BE%AE%E5%BC%B1%EF%BC%8C%E6%9C%AC%E5%91%A8%E5%A4%A7%E9%83%A8%E5%88%86%E8%B5%9B%E4%BA%8B%E9%83%BD%E6%98%AF%E7%83%AD%E9%97%A8%E7%90%83%E9%98%9F%E6%89%93%E5%87%BA%E4%BB%A5%E5%8F%8A%E5%B9%B3%E5%B1%80%E9%A2%91%E7%8E%B0%EF%BC%8C%E8%BF%99%E5%9C%A8%E8%BF%99%E4%B8%AA%E8%B5%9B%E4%BA%8B%E7%89%B9%E5%BE%81%E7%BE%A4%E4%BD%93%E9%87%8C%E5%B9%B6%E4%B8%8D%E5%A4%9A%E8%A7%81%EF%BC%8C%E5%B1%9E%E4%BA%8E%E5%B0%8F%E6%A6%82%E7%8E%87%E4%BA%8B...%20http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nobet.club%2Fpost%2F141072654943%2F2016%E5%B9%B43%E6%9C%88%E7%AC%AC2%E5%91%A8%E8%B6%B3%E7%90%83%E6%8E%A8%E8%8D%90%E6%88%90%E7%BB%A9%E6%9C%AC%E5%91%A8%E8%B5%A2%E5%88%A9%E9%A2%9D%E5%BE%AE%E5%BC%B1%E6%9C%AC%E5%91%A8%E5%A4%A7%E9%83%A8%E5%88%86%E8%B5%9B%E4%BA%8B%E9%83%BD%E6%98%AF%E7%83%AD%E9%97%A8%E7%90%83%E9%98%9F%E6%89%93%E5%87%BA%E4%BB%A5%E5%8F%8A%E5%B9%B3%E5%B1%80%E9%A2%91%E7%8E%B0%E8%BF%99%E5%9C%A8%E8%BF%99%E4%B8%AA
http://www.nobet.club/post/141072654943/2016年3月第2周足球推荐成绩本周赢利额微弱本周大部分赛事都是热门球队打出以及平局频现这在这个/embed
http://www.nobet.club/post/145604468473/计算体育博彩的期望值?is_highlighted_post=1
http://www.nobet.club/post/145603337693/如何计算足球博彩的泊松分布?is_highlighted_post=1
http://www.nobet.club/post/145603190473/赌徒谬误和大数法则?is_highlighted_post=1
http://www.nobet.club/post/145554555663/过去一个月因各大联赛国家的大小赛事陆续进入最后八轮的我们停止发布数据结果过往发布的数据结果是基于?is_highlighted_post=1
http://www.nobet.club/post/143049641288/2016年4月第3周足球推荐成绩本周赢利额较低盈利情况在概率上表现为低水平的态势分布范围注利?is_highlighted_post=1
http://www.nobet.club/post/142688179773/2016年4月第2周足球推荐成绩本周赢利额较低盈利情况在概率上表现为低水平的态势分布范围注利?is_highlighted_post=1
/page/2

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Registry Domain ID: 334762583_DOMAIN_COM-VRSN
Registrar WHOIS Server: whois.godaddy.com
Registrar URL: http://www.godaddy.com
Updated Date: 2013-08-18T05:30:52Z
Creation Date: 2006-02-04T15:39:35Z
Registry Expiry Date: 2018-02-04T15:39:35Z
Registrar: GoDaddy.com, LLC
Registrar IANA ID: 146
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Name Server: PNS1.CLOUDNS.NET
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URL of the ICANN Whois Inaccuracy Complaint Form: https://www.icann.org/wicf/
>>> Last update of whois database: 2017-08-23T13:36:44Z

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